Australia's One Nation party surges to 59 seats in latest poll, threatening major parties
A Redbridge poll of 6,000+ Australian voters released this weekend projects Pauline Hanson's One Nation party could win as many as 59 seats in the lower house if an election were held today, potentially becoming the main opposition party and displacing both the Nationals and Liberal Party. The polling suggests One Nation would gain seats heavily from Labor-held electorates, marking a significant shift in Australian politics away from the traditional two-major-party system. Senator David Pocock attributed the shift to voter dissatisfaction with Australia's major parties. The result would represent a structural realignment of Australian parliamentary representation if replicated in an actual election.
Verified
- ✓Redbridge poll published on May 24, 2026 surveyed more than 6,000 voters. (Source: ABC News Australia)
- ✓Poll projects One Nation could win as many as 59 seats in the lower house. (Source: ABC News Australia)
- ✓Projection shows One Nation could become the main opposition party. (Source: ABC News Australia)
- ✓Poll indicates One Nation could displace the Nationals and heavily deplete the Liberals. (Source: ABC News Australia)
- ✓Polling shows One Nation capable of flipping Labor-held electorates. (Source: ABC News Australia)
Interpretation
- ~Senator David Pocock characterizes the One Nation rise as evidence that Australians are not satisfied with the major parties. (Source: Pocock statement via ABC News Australia)
▸▾Why this is here
- Source type
- Public Broadcaster (Tier 3)
- Content type
- Reported
- Confidence
- Reported
- Coverage
- 0 of 15 major US outlets
- Published
- May 24, 2026 at 5:08 AM PDT
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