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Brazil's Lula leads Bolsonaro's son in October re-election race, new poll shows

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintains a lead over opposition senator Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of the October 2026 presidential election, according to a Datafolha poll released Friday showing Lula at 48% versus Bolsonaro at 43% in a potential runoff. The poll represents a modest 1-point gain for Lula compared to a June survey, which showed Lula ahead 47% to 43%, per WION.

📹 Source Video

✓ Verified

  • Lula leads Bolsonaro 48% to 43% in a Datafolha poll runoff scenario. (Source: WION, corroborated by 103 U.S. MSM articles on Brazil's 2026 election)
  • June survey showed Lula ahead 47% to 43%. (Source: WION description)
  • Brazil's presidential election is scheduled for October 2026. (Source: WION, standard Brazilian electoral calendar)

~ Interpretation

  • ~The 1-point increase from June represents momentum for Lula. (Source: comparative interpretation of two Datafolha polls)
Why this is here
Source typePublic Media·T3
Content typeReported
ConfidenceCorroborated
Coverage8 of 15 major US outlets
PublishedJuly 25, 2026 at 10:15 AM PDT

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